1. DATASET DEFINITIONS

   • Instruments:
   • Time Period: (e.g. 1/1/2023 - 1/12026)
   • Session/Hours Sampled:
   • Exclusions: (news, bank holidays, etc.)

2. EVENT + OUTCOME

   • Event Rule: “If ___ occurs, it will be exemplified in this data set”.
   • Support Outcome: “If XX occurs prior to YY, the example will support the hypothesis”.
   • Disprove Outcome: If YY occurs prior to XX, the example will disprove the hypothesis”.

3. MAIN VARIABLES

   • Purpose: Choose a small set of variables that will be used to split your results into comparable groups.
   • Step 1 - List Candidate Variables:
     • Write 5–10 possible variables that could logically change the outcome (e.g., market state, session, trigger location, volatility state, etc.).
   • Step 2 - Apply The Main Variable Criteria:
     • A variable can be used as a main variable only if it is:
       • Universal: Present in every example.
       • Mechanical: Can be classified impartially.
       • Non-Redundant: Not just a proxy for another variable you’re already using.
       • Impactful: Expected to meaningfully change results.
       • Sample-Safe: Won’t split the dataset into tiny, unusable groups.
   • Step 3 - Limit Number of Main Variable Categories:
     • Use 2-4 categories of the main variables, total.
   • Step 4 - Define Categories Prior To Collecting Data & Colour Coat:
     • Variable ___ → Categories: (1) / (2) / (3)

4. SUB VARIABLES (SELECT 2 - 4 VARIABLES MAX FOR THIS PAGE)

   • Variable A:
     • Categories: A1, A2, A3…
   • Variable B:
     • Categories: B1, B2, B3…
   • Variable C:
     • Categories: C1, C2, C3…
   • Variable D:
     • Categories: D1, D2, D3…
   • Rule: Each variable must be mechanically measurable and identifiable.

5. CONCLUSIONS

   • Overall: __% (Supports: Disproves).
   • Overall x Main Variable: __% (Supports: Disproves).
   • Overall x Main Variable: __% (Supports: Disproves).
   • Overall x Main Variable: __% (Supports: Disproves).
   • By Variable A:
     • A1: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A1 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A1 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A1 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A2: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A2 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A2 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A2 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A3: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A3 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A3 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • A3 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
   • By Variable B:
     • B1: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B1 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B1 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B1 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B2: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B2 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B2 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B2 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B3: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B3 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B3 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • B3 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
   • By Variable C:
     • C1: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C1 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C1 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C1 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C2: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C2 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C2 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C2 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C3: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C3 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C3 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • C3 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
   • By Variable D:
     • D1: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D1 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D1 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D1 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D2: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D2 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D2 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D2 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D3: __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D3 x Main Variable (1): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D3 x Main Variable (2): __% (Supports: Disproves).
     • D3 x Main Variable (3): __% (Supports: Disproves).

_______________________________________________________________________________

CONCLUSIONS:

• Overall:
• Overall:
• Overall:
• Overall:
• Variable A1:
• Variable A1: